Conveners
Advances in mathematics of infectious diseases: Part A
- Abba Gumel ()
- Tufail Malik (Merck & Co., Inc., USA)
Advances in mathematics of infectious diseases: Part B
- Abba Gumel (Arizona State University)
- Tufail Malik (Merck & Co., Inc., USA)
Description
This minisymposium will bring together established and up-and-coming researchers to share ideas on the recent advances on the use of mathematical approaches to gain insight into the transmission dynamics and control of emerging and re-emerging infectious diseases in populations.
An essential feature of the minisymposium is the emphasis on the use of state-of-the-art techniques, theories and new applications associated with the use of dynamical systems in modeling the spread of diseases in populations. Current pressing modelling and mathematical challenges will also be discussed.
Vector-borne diseases cause worldwide concern with hundreds of millions of new cases and over a million deaths reported annually. Mathematical models are a key tool in the study of the spread of diseases such as malaria and dengue. In particular, transmission models have been successful at determining the most promising intervention strategies, despite the fact that many of these models assume...
Climate change is known to significantly affect the dynamics of vector-borne diseases, such as malaria. In particular, the species involved in the transmission dynamics of malaria are affected by various abiotic conditions, such as temperature, precipitation, humidity and vapor pressure . A number of models, typically statistical (using data and statistical approaches to correlate some...
Many human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination programs currently administer three vaccines - a bivalent, a quadrivalent and a nonavalent vaccine - for a two-dose course. In this talk a model will be presented to explore optimal vaccination strategies using the three vaccines, which differ in protection breadth, cross-protection, and type-specific efficacy. Assuming the HPV infection prevalence...
Syphilis, a major sexually-transmitted disease, continues to pose major public health burden in both under-developed and developed nations of the world. This study presents a new two-group sex-structured model for assessing the community-level impact of treatment and condom use on the transmission dynamics and control of syphilis. Rigorous analysis of the model shows that it undergoes the...
Mathematical models for the Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) were, until recently, mostly based on the fast/direct transmission route, which involves contact with blood or body fluid and objects that have been contaminated by body fluid. The fact that in almost all outbreaks of the EVD in Africa, the index case became infected through contact with infected animals, such as fruit bats and primates,...
Using a data base on Dengue incidence available for four different states of the country we develop mathematical models that describe the recurrent dynamics of cases at different geographical/regional levels. We present preliminary results.