Conveners
HIV
- Ryosuke Omori (Hokkaido University)
HIV progression studies have asserted three stages: acute infection, chronic infection, and AIDS. We develop a model with three stages and include an infection class with non-uniform Highly Active Anti-Retroviral Treatment leading to viral suppression. Capturing the incidence rate of HIV in minority U.S. women requires a model stratified by race/ethnicity and sexual behaviour in addition to...
Pre-exposure prophylaxis is a useful method for the preventing the transmission of HIV to susceptible individuals. What target population would provide the biggest impact on HIV dynamics? To answer this question, we present a differential equation model stratified by behavioural risk and sexual activity. Some susceptible individuals have higher rates of risky behaviour that increase their...
We develop a Susceptibles, Infected and Recovered (SIR) type mathematical model of HIV epidemiology to explore a possible mechanism by which mass incarceration can lead to increased HIV incidence. The results are particularly relevant for the African American community in the United States that represents only 12% of the total population but accounts for 45% of HIV diagnoses and 40% of the...
